Uchimi Economic Research Initiative

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Ten short working papers on the microeconomic mechanisms behind weak growth, informality, and limited access to capital in Kenya and East Africa. Newest first.

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14 Oct 2026 Productivity

The Wrong Instrument: Why Fertilizer Subsidies Have Not Closed Kenya's Maize Yield Gap

Kenya has subsidized fertilizer in some form since 2008, spending KSh 31 billion through 2018 on the NCPB scheme alone, and in 2022 launched the National Fertiliser Subsidy Programme (NFSP), open to all registered farmers with quantities tied to registered landholding.

22 Sep 2026 Access to Capital

Borrowing Once a Day: Digital Credit, Repayment Velocity and the Limits of the Debt-Trap Framing in Kenya

Kenya's digital credit market has reached a scale that makes the usual framing of the debate, is a digital loan good or bad for the borrower?, close to unanswerable as posed.

2 Sep 2026 Labour Markets

Education-to-Employment Mismatch: Why Rising School Enrollment Hasn’t Translated into Kenyan Wage Growth

While Kenya increased enrollment in primary and secondary schools significantly via free education policies implemented in 2003 and 2008, the wage premium for exactly that level of education has dramatically declined during the same period, according to Mincerian estimates, the wage premium for…

15 Aug 2026 Productivity

Agricultural Cooperatives and Price Bargaining Power: Do Farmer Collectives Improve Smallholder Income in Kenya?

Indeed, the history of agriculture cooperative development in Kenya is amongst the longest and most extensive in all of Africa, and the results on whether or not cooperatives improve smallholders' income are really ambiguous in the context of this specific country, not just overall.

28 Jul 2026 Infrastructure

Electricity Reliability and Firm Productivity: A Microeconomic Look at Power Rationing’s Cost to Kenyan SMEs

Kenyan businesses have been found to incur an average loss of about 4% of their yearly sales due to blackouts, and 66% now either have or share access to a generator, signaling a form of quiet self-insurance by the private sector against a missing piece of infrastructure.

10 Jul 2026 Access to Capital

Youth Entrepreneurship and Capital Constraints: Why Kenyan Startups Struggle to Scale Past the Micro Stage

The contradiction inherent in Kenya’s startup ecosystem is thus: Kenya has seen a historic influx of USD 984 million worth of venture capital in a particular year, and yet an estimated 60% of youth-led MSMEs fail within the first three years, and 68% of SMEs in Kenya continue to fund themselves…

22 Jun 2026 Informality

The Cost of Being Poor: Price Discrimination and Transaction Costs in Nairobi’s Informal Markets

The existence of the “poverty premium”, the notion that poor households pay more for the same goods and services as wealthy households do, has been noted in Kenya’s housing, water and retail markets.

5 Jun 2026 Development Finance

Remittances vs. Aid: Comparing Household-Level Growth Effects in Kenyan Diaspora-Linked vs. NGO-Dependent Communities

Kenya received diaspora remittances estimated at USD 4.4-4.8 billion in 2024, which is more than double its official development assistance (ODA) amounting to USD 2.6 billion in 2023 and continuing to grow as international aid budgets dwindle.

18 May 2026 Access to Capital

Chama Networks: Informal Savings Groups as Substitutes for Formal Banking in Rural Kenya

However, the rotating and accumulative savings and credit associations, popularly called chamas in local parlance, continue to be one of the largest informal financial mechanisms in the world in relation to their economic size, intermediating an estimated KSh 60 billion (or around USD 860 million)…

30 Apr 2026 Access to Capital

Land Title Ambiguity and Underinvestment: A Microeconomic Case Study of Smallholder Farmers in Central and Western Kenya

Under the de Soto thesis, there should be a clear cause-and-effect relationship where formal titling leads to enforceable collateral, which then enables formal lending, which provides finance for investments that improve productivity.

9 Apr 2026 Labour Markets

The Boda Boda Economy: Informal Transport as a Microeconomic Buffer Against Youth Unemployment

An estimated one million people find work directly through boda bodas in Kenya, and the workforce in this industry is disproportionately composed of young and male workers who are excluded from formal employment opportunities.

26 Mar 2026 Informality

Mobile Money and the Missing Middle: Does M-Pesa Access Correlate with SME Formalization in Kenya?

Kenya is the country of reference when it comes to mobile money services, with M-Pesa usage being very prevalent in the country.